Real Wages, 2007-2023M04 | Econbrowser
Higher than at previous NBER peak (2020M02): Figure 1: Average hourly earnings in total private nonfarm payroll (blue, left log ...
Tag: Econbrowser
The Dollar’s Role: Prospects | Econbrowser
From D. Fried, CBO Working Paper (summary): The U.S. dollar plays an important role as the most widely used currency ...
Mortgage Spreads | Econbrowser
From Fout and Duncan, Journal of Structured Finance (2020): Source: Fout and Duncan (2020). The “Primary Spread” is the 30 ...
GDP, GPD+, Final Sales | Econbrowser
Jim noted recurrent delays in the long heralded recession in his Thursday post. Here are some additional reflections on where ...
GDP (3rd), GDO, GDP+ | Econbrowser
With GDI reported, we no longer have to guess in order to calculate GDO. GDP+ is also reported out. We ...
A Stryker Velocity Model | Econbrowser
A two regime Markov switching model for the log of M2 velocity, 1959-2022, as suggested by Rick Stryker: And here ...
Deposits on the Move | Econbrowser
Rashad Ahmed brings my attention to the following: Source: Ahmed via FRED. “The H.8 data is updated through March 15 ...
The Administration’s GDP Forecast | Econbrowser
The FY 24 Budget was released today. Because the forecast was locked down in late November, and the macro outlook ...
Lumber Prices near Consumers | Econbrowser
Futures prices and PPI have come down (see here). The question is whether the consumer (say a house builder) has ...
China Saber-Rattles (Again) | Econbrowser
With provocative incursions of Chinese aircraft across the Taiwan Strait median line around Christmas Day (perhaps as a message responding ...
