Tag: Forecasts

Plain vanilla probit models indicate a high probability of recession, especially using the 10yr-3mo spread: Figure 1: Forecasted probability of ...

Profits at US aerospace and defence contractor Raytheon soared as it sold more jet engines, parts and after-market services to ...

From Popina, McCormick, and Beyoud, “Traders lose trust…” in Bloomberg today: Source: Popina et al., Bloomberg, 11 January 2023. I ...