Commodity Talk: Brent crude may fall to $68 in near term amid supply glut, weak demand
Crude prices are in a downtrend and we believe that the US WTI could test $60-$65 levels. As for Brent, ...
Tag: Term
Lakshmi Iyer: Think long term; avoid being instinctive: Lakshmi Iyer
"If one were not to get too perturbed by the near-term trend, it looks like with a correction price point ...
Recession Probabilities Incorporating Foreign Term Spreads
Foreign term spreads in several major financial centers have inverted (you can see the yield curves here). What is the ...
Term Spread Recession Forecasts for January 2024
Plain vanilla probit models indicate a high probability of recession, especially using the 10yr-3mo spread: Figure 1: Forecasted probability of ...
